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The audiences you should never target

Andrew Barrow··3 min read

Lookalike models are built to answer one question: who resembles your best customers? It's a good question. It's also only half of one. The other half — who looks like a buyer but never converts — is where a lot of budget quietly dies.

Negative signal is signal

Every campaign generates two kinds of data: people who converted and people who looked perfect on paper and did nothing. Most models throw the second group away. We don't — because the audiences that never convert are as valuable to identify as the ones that do.

Knowing who not to spend on is the cheapest performance gain in media.

Our lookalike system learns the negative signal too. The result is simple: budget flows to the people who convert and skips the ones who never will. No new spend, no new inventory — just less waste.

Put it into practice

Write a CTV measurement brief before buying media

Define the business outcome, attribution rules, holdout design, and budget decision for a CTV campaign. Includes an editable experiment brief and reporting template.

Notes from the build

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